The “biggest winner of the 2012 election” (aka Nate Silver) presents his BS-meter (modeled on the old terror alert system) to evaluate information sources & “expertise.”

Also:
market-based approach > market worship
robust data > “big data”
scientific consensus > peer-reviewed paper
process focus > outcome focus
probabilism > certainty

"Probability is the waystone between ignorance and knowledge."

Audience at #pdf13 is furiously taking notes.